A Cross-Cultural Study on Conditional Reasoning and Hindsight Bias
نویسندگان
چکیده
The purpose of this study is to see whether hindsight bias is stronger among Japanese people than among French people using conditional reasoning and probability judgment task. We describe the relation between analytic thought (Westerners) and holistic thought (Easterners) in terms of SuperP. SuperP is a superordinate principle that describes a set of events possibly related to the p in an ‘if p then q’ conditional. The participants were asked to judge the probability of the two events of a given indicative conditional. The cultural differences on hindsight bias were not very strongly observed, but we inferred that information about the actual outcome might activate the SuperP. This phenomenon could be universal across cultures.
منابع مشابه
A Cross-Cultural Study of Hindsight Bias and Conditional Probabilistic Reasoning
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